Concerns are mounting in Lebanon over a potential security vacuum in the south with the expiration of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) mandate in late 2026, amid continued Israeli aggression and uncertainty regarding international alternatives. Lebanese President Joseph Aoun warned that the mission's conclusion without a replacement could lead to a security vacuum, while Prime Minister Nawaf Salam emphasized Lebanon's need for an international presence to assume these duties.
Uncertainty of Alternatives and Political Stances
The UN Security Council decided to extend UNIFIL's mandate until December 31, 2026, with its gradual withdrawal to begin during 2027. MP Abdul Rahman al-Buzri pointed to strong US desire against extension, despite efforts by European and Arab states to find a formula for continuation. He noted that proposed alternatives include establishing an international force in coordination with Lebanon, stressing that such arrangements require international will and a UN Security Council resolution.
Local and Strategic Concerns
Majdal Zoun Mayor Youssef Shihimi confirmed that the mission's end raises questions about the mechanism for security monitoring and following up on Israeli violations. He added that the priority for border municipalities is preventing a security vacuum and ensuring the return of residents. For his part, Major General Nidal Zahwe warned of legal and military repercussions from the mission's end, considering that the Lebanese Army cannot handle the field vacuum alone given its current capabilities.
Security Context and International Missions
Since March 2, Israeli attacks have resulted in more than 4,300 killed and 12,400 wounded. Despite the signing of a "framework arrangement" in June 2024, Israel continues its attacks. The European Union announced on October 12 a decision to create a mission to support the Lebanese Army, although this does not fully resolve the issue of a UNIFIL alternative or mechanisms for monitoring violations.
Source: Anadolu Agency
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